Year II · No. 665 · 1,823 entries Tuesday, October 27, 2026 ES EN Get the weekly digest

Thesis Almanac

US · 33 entries · 23 publications

MSFT

Microsoft

Entries
33
Bullish
2
Bearish
2
First
May 1, 2025
Latest
Oct 27, 2026

▲ 2 bullish ▼ 2 bearish · 29 no stance

As many bullish as bearish among those that state a stance.

Jan 25 – Oct 26 · per month

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Alpha of every thesis on MSFT at 1, 3 and 6 months and since publication, and the full chart vs its benchmark.

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Sector research that mentions it

2

Timeline

Newest to oldest
  1. October 2026 8 entries

    Institutional · eToro

    Big profits. Bigger spending questions.

    Analyst Weekly, October 26, 2026 This earnings season, beating expectations may only get companies halfway there. Investors also want to know how much cash those profits leave behind. AI’s bill is arriving Alphabet…

    GOOGLMSFTAMZNMETAshort1,422 words

    Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/Wonderful_Annual8431

    Can Google win on enterprise?

    Firstly, this isn’t my thesis. It’s a summary of a very compelling comment on a previous post, from standupguy152. Microsoft has dominated enterprise for decades, but could Google be better positioned for the shift…

    GOOGLMSFTshort283 words

    Since publication MSFT +1.5% α +0.9 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

    Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/Titsor_Assness

    Hemnet: lesser-spotted European value

    Wanted to share an actual Value investment observation, that isn't Microsoft. Buffett's popularisation of Value has moved the traditional Value approach into more of a Quality/Value blend (thanks to Munger's help). And…

    MSFTshort1,023 words

    Since publication −0.2% α +0.3 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

    Substack · Long-Term Mindset · Brian Feroldi

    Is Microsoft a Buy at $513?

    What’s behind the value for Microsoft

    BullishMSFT895 words

    Since publication −1.6% α +0.1 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

  2. September 2026 3 entries

    Substack · Quality Stocks | GARP Investment Research

    Microsoft Stock Analysis: Is MSFT a Buy?

    Microsoft is building the enterprise stack of the AI era, but is the stock still attractive at the current price?

    MSFT2,549 words

    Since publication +6.4% α +6.8 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

  3. August 2026 4 entries

    Substack · BD Investing · BD Investing, Pawan | Learn Invest Grow

    NBIS: What Meta and Microsoft See That Michael Burry Is Missing

    684% revenue growth. $46B contracted backlog. 45% EBITDA margins. Nasdaq-100 inclusion effective June 22. ARR target of $7–9B by December 2026.

    METAMSFT1,819 words

    Since publication MSFT +5.5% α +6.2 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

    Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/VitaliiNoskov

    Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Valuation and Capital Allocation

    Financial Analysis: Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Valuation and Capital Allocation Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) currently trades at a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.8x with a market capitalization of $3.45…

    MSFTshort693 words

    Since publication +9.2% α +8.2 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

  4. July 2026 7 entries

    Substack · TacticzHazel’s Substack · TacticzHazel

    Quick thoughts on Microsoft Earnings

    Overall this was a strong quarter.

    MSFT459 words

    Since publication −36.4% α −31.5 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

    Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/stockoscope

    Google looks cheap at 27x earnings, but a DCF analysis suggests it is overvalued

    Last year I posted a breakdown in this sub arguing Microsoft was overvalued at $490 because of its capex spend . But that thesis was never really about Microsoft - it applies to every hyperscaler pouring money into AI…

    BearishGOOGLMSFTshort659 words

    Since publication MSFT −37.0% α −34.7 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

    Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/First_Memory375

    In the past couple of months I worked on system that provides a recomendation for an action on a stock, depending if you own it or no, I have run it on MSFT(for a negative holding status) because i saw alot of intrest about it in this sub, would like some feedback.

    **Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) — NasdaqGS** Technology · Software - Infrastructure · Mega cap · USD $373.02 (as of Jul 1, 2026) **Recommendation: Buy — High conviction** One of the world's highest-quality software…

    MSFTshort1,099 words

    Since publication +37.7% α +35.9 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

  5. June 2026 3 entries

    Substack · Moats & Multiples

    Microsoft – Are the Windows Closing?

    Why I'm less bullish on one of the highest quality franchises.

    MSFT2,161 words

    Since publication +32.0% α +28.1 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

    Substack · Moats & Multiples

    Quality Isn’t Dead – It’s Being Redefined

    Between the start of 2003 and the end of 2006, Microsoft had seen its share price appreciate by a meagre 11% cumulatively.

    MSFT2,341 words

    Since publication +24.6% α +23.0 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

  6. March 2026 1 entry

    Substack · Patient Capital Fund Newsletter · Patient Capital

    Microsoft and the Agentic Race

    Testing the "SaaSmageddon" Thesis Against the World’s Largest Software Company

    MSFT2,093 words

    Since publication +31.4% α +19.7 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

  7. February 2026 2 entries

    Substack · SaluInvest | Albert Saludes · Albert Saludes

    Sangre en el Nasdaq, Calma en el Valor

    Microsoft cae un 12% y el Oro se desploma: Mi análisis del "Efecto Warsh" y por qué no estoy vendiendo nada.

    MSFTshortES578 words

    Since publication +25.8% α +15.8 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

  8. January 2026 1 entry

    Institutional · eToro

    Deep Dive: Where Does Microsoft Stand in 2026?

    Microsoft stock has wavered notably from its highs and The Daily Breakdown digs into to see if there’s more risk…or more opportunity. Before we dive in, let’s make sure you’re set to receive The Daily Breakdown each…

    BullishMSFTshort708 words

    Since publication +11.1% α +0.9 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

  9. November 2025 1 entry
  10. October 2025 1 entry

    Blogs · ValueWalk

    Microsoft Stock Sinks on AI Spending? Yup, You Heard That Right

    Now investors are wary of too much AI spending. It wasn’t long ago when shares of a mega tech company would sink if they weren’t doing enough investment in AI. But now things seem to have shifted, as Microsoft…

    MSFTshort576 words

    Since publication +1.3% α −11.2 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

  11. July 2025 1 entry
  12. May 2025 1 entry

    Blogs · ValueWalk

    Is Microsoft Stock a Buy After March Quarter Earnings?

    Microsoft stock was soaring after the company beat its fiscal third quarter earnings estimates. It was an impressive quarter for the tech giant.

    MSFTshort601 words

    Since publication +25.2% α −11.8 pp vs S&P 500 · USD

There are 32 more low-confidence entries, hidden because the ticker could not be checked in the text. See them in the index →

Prices as of the Oct 27, 2026 close. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Price-only, excluding dividends, in local currency. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Not investment advice. How it is calculated.