Substack · Hated Moats
Reddit: Deep Dive Analysis
Reddit owns 20 years of unique human conversations. But what happens when AI makes visiting Reddit unnecessary?
US · 20 entries · 10 publications
RDDT
- Entries
- 20
- Bullish
- 2
- Bearish
- 2
- First
- Jun 15, 2025
- Latest
- Oct 27, 2026
As many bullish as bearish among those that state a stance.
Jan 25 – Oct 26 · per month
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Alpha of every thesis on RDDT at 1, 3 and 6 months and since publication, and the full chart vs its benchmark.Free during launch: log in or sign up with your email to see it.
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Newest to oldest- October 2026 2 entries
Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/Icy-Drawer5856
BETR Follow-Up: Garg Won. Now the Operating Thesis Gets Its Test.
A follow-up to my earlier BETR thesis: https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/s/bVQgbbOwdZ In that post, I argued that there were really two overlapping theses at Better Home & Finance ($BETR): a cyclical mortgage…
Since publication RDDT −8.0% α −6.7 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
- September 2026 4 entries
Blogs · r/SecurityAnalysis · /u/Clutch0306
Reddit Inc: DCF valuation using Aswath Damodaran’s approach
Hi all, I wanted to share my detailed DCF analysis for Reddit. Our DCF derives an intrinsic equity value of $186 per share , representing 30% upside to Reddit’s market price of $143 as of 28 September 2026. This is…
Since publication −4.8% α −4.8 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
Substack · Hated Moats · Hated Moats Investors
Reddit: DCF Valuation
Reddit doesn’t need one billion daily users to justify meaningful upside. The valuation question is how valuable each user can become. - DCFriday #021
Since publication −7.6% α −6.7 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/tdewault95
$LOVE - Lovesac a diamond in the rough, pt.3
Part 1: (October 2025) https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/s/3jKfBm9Ocw Part 2: (January 2026) https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/s/dSdi1rtlhz —-AI summary of pt1&2—- Summary of the Lovesac thesis Core business…
Since publication RDDT −14.7% α −15.5 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
Substack · Math & Markets · K. Iyer
I Sold the Calls Reddit Was Buying. I Still Lost Money.
Part 4 of 0DTE Autopsy: Vol Surface vs. Retail (Sell Side; Seller Wins 69% and Still Loses Money)
Since publication +14.7% α +15.5 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
- August 2026 7 entries
Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/StableBread
Deckers Gets Marked Down (Again)
I first wrote up Deckers Brands (NYSE: DECK) on October 30, 2025, when it was ~$84/share. The stock ran to ~$120/share by late February 2026, then gave most of that gain back and now trades at ~$91/share. ( see the…
Since publication RDDT −14.8% α −14.8 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/Icy-Drawer5856
MTCH: the money was already made. What’s left is caretaking.
Prior discussion: https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/s/z3Ig03i7Qd Every large payday in dating apps came from a liquidity event, not from operating the business. Tinder's founders held options on roughly 20% of the…
Since publication −7.9% α −8.4 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/Silent-Complaint4020
Reddit vs AppLovin vs Palantir
All three stocks have been undergoing a hypergrowth stage of business. I want to go through each of their business models because many people in this subreddit seem not to really understand what they do, how they make…
Since publication RDDT −8.7% α −8.3 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/Icy-Drawer5856
AI slop vs. AI-assisted securities research: where should the line be?
I think we should start with the obvious point: a lot of AI-generated content is slop. It is generic, repetitive, thin on facts, light on numbers, poorly sourced, and often contains nothing particularly original…
Since publication −12.5% α −12.3 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
Substack · Club de inversión: Entre Acciones🪐✨ · Club: Entre Acciones🪐✨
🚀 Reddit finalmente entra al S&P 500
Un espacio pensado para quienes ya invierten en acciones y quieren profundizar, compartir ideas y rodearse de gente que habla el mismo idioma.
Since publication −15.8% α −15.0 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/Silent-Complaint4020
Reddit Doesn’t Need to Become the Next Meta to Win — But I Think It Will
Reddit went public on 21 March 2024. I was sceptical about them. But time and time again, they have proven themselves with solid financial performance: Quarter Revenue YoY Growth Net Income Net Margin Adj. EBITDA EBITDA…
Since publication RDDT −15.8% α −15.0 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/ConceptGlittering233
Reddit (RDDT): Done the DCF but want to understand ARPU runway
Hey folks, I've been looking at Reddit as a potential investment. I built a reverse-DCF to understand what is roughly embedded into the current price. I arrive at $150-160/share with the following combination of…
Since publication −12.4% α −10.9 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
- July 2026 2 entries
Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/Competitive-Job1828
SONO: Cheap, profitable and growing
Sorry if this is the fourth time you’ve seen this post: Reddit’s filters keep removing it, so now you get a version with no links at all. Hopefully that’s the problem, but who knows 🤷♂️ Anyway, Sonos (SONO) makes…
Since publication RDDT −1.6% α −4.1 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
Blogs · r/ValueInvesting · /u/Beginning-Novel-4213
Playboy (PLBY) - A turnaround play on one of the most iconic brands
A few quick things: Playboy (PLBY) is one of my largest holdings. I prefer rough approximations on value instead of false precision This is my investment thesis, but I had Claude help me condense and structure it for…
Since publication RDDT −31.9% α −33.7 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
- March 2026 1 entry
Substack · Stone Mountain Research
Reddit Deep Dive: Early Innings on a 20-Year-Old Platform
How a community built on volunteer labor and user-generated content became one of the fastest-scaling ad businesses in history.
Since publication −0.3% α −13.3 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
- February 2026 1 entry
Substack · Multibagger Insights · The T-shaped Investor
AI Discussion in Amazon, Reddit, and Uber Earning Calls
This week I tracked Amazon, Uber, and Reddit earnings closely.
Since publication RDDT −2.3% α −12.5 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
- December 2025 1 entry
Substack · Amit’s Substack · Amits Deep Dives
RDDT: The Front Page of The Internet
A deep dive into Reddit, Inc.
Since publication −38.7% α −49.4 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
- August 2025 1 entry
Substack · I/O Fund · Beth Kindig
Reddit Stock Blows the Doors Off - Can it Last?
Reddit’s stock has surged 62% in one month, easily placing the company’s earnings report as one of the best to come out of the tech sector this quarter. The world’s leading forum site has only 416 million weekly active…
Since publication −37.0% α −56.2 pp vs S&P 500 · USD
- June 2025 1 entry
YouTube · Fat Tails Capital
Pfizer Stock Analysis: Is PFE The Easiest Short Play In 2025?
Prices as of the Oct 27, 2026 close. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Price-only, excluding dividends, in local currency. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Not investment advice. How it is calculated.